Skipper Pat Cummins has admitted that his involvement in the opening Ashes Test appears unlikely due to ongoing injury concerns.
Recent reports from Australia had indicated that Cummins might miss the entire series, though the pace bowler himself has now provided a more detailed update on his situation.
The veteran cricketer has been battling with a spinal issue that has kept him sidelined since his last competitive match in July.
Although Cummins has resumed running training, he has yet to commence bowling as part of his rehabilitation program.
"I wouldn't put a percentage on it, but I'd say probably more doubtful than certain," commented Cummins. "My bowling preparation begins next week, so approximately a couple of weeks away from wearing the spikes and bowling out on turf."
Australia coach Andrew McDonald had earlier suggested that Cummins would require a minimum of four weeks of bowling preparation to have any chance of featuring in the first Test, scheduled to begin on November 21.
Cummins echoed this assessment, explaining: "You'd want at least approximately a month in the nets. If you participate in a Test match, you want to ensure you're able to bowl 20 overs in a day without concern."
Given the compressed timeframe, there are also concerns about Cummins' fitness for the second Test in Brisbane on December 4.
Should Cummins be unfit, former skipper Steve Smith is likely to captain the side, with Scott Boland possibly filling the gap in the pace department.
The hosts have retained the Ashes urn since 2018, while England are without a Test win in Australia since 2011.
Cummins' current injury concerns echo challenges from earlier in his successful career. He made his Test first appearance as an 18-year-old in 2011 against South Africa, becoming the youngest-ever player to take a five-wicket haul in an innings at that time.
However, his explosive debut proved to be a false dawn, as Cummins endured six years before his second Test appearance due to repeated stress fractures in his lower back.
When fit, Cummins has proven himself as one of cricket's premier fast bowlers. The experienced campaigner has taken 309 Test dismissals at an impressive average of 22.10.
His record in home conditions is even more formidable, with 177 wickets at 19.92, while he has claimed 91 wickets against England in just 19 matches.
In the most recent Ashes series in 2023, Cummins played in all five Tests, taking 18 wickets and confirming his value to the Australian side.
As captain, Cummins enjoyed a glorious 2023, taking six wickets in Australia's triumphant World Test Championship final and excelling in their 50-over World Cup final victory against India.
He remains the only captain in Test history to win the World Test Championship, World Cup, and an Ashes series.
England also face their own fitness concerns with captain Ben Stokes, who has been troubled by a shoulder injury since the Test series against India.
Both teams will be assessing their key players closely as the highly anticipated Ashes series nears.
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